Kyle Edmund vs. Dusan Lajovic
|Date & Time||Thursday October 4, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dusan Lajovic and Kyle Edmund meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis China Open.
Dusan Lajovic is coming off a three sets win over Grigor Dimitrov that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Lajovic won 63 percent of his first serve points and 68 percent of his second serve points. Lajovic won 69 percent of his total service points and produced four breaks on nine break points. Lajovic has now won seven of his last nine matches and won his last match as a +220 underdog. Lajovic now has two career wins over top-10 players. If Lajovic continues to get a high percentage of his first serves in play, he has to like his chances to make an even deeper tournament run. Lajovic has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Lyon back in May. Lajovic has won six of his last eight matches on hard court.
Kyle Edmund is coming off a three sets win over Matteo Berrettini that took 37 games to decide. In the victory, Edmund won 73 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Edmund won 67 percent of his total service points and saved six of his seven break points. Edmund had a hard time with his return, but he dominated his serve for the most part and was able to win majority of the big points to claw out a victory that took nearly three hours. It was a well earned victory for Edmund, and he gives himself a serious chance to push for a possible final appearance if he can continue to take care of his serve the way he has in his last few matches. Edmund hopes to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Madrid. Edmund has won four of his last six matches on hard court.
These two have played twice and Edmund has won both matches. The most recent meeting was in 2016 in China qualifying, a mach Edmund won in three sets. The other match was in the 2016 Davis Cup, a match Edmund won in three sets.
Lajovic has been a nice bet recently, as he’s won at some nice prices, but now the competition improves quite a bit. Edmund has struggled with consistency this year, but his serve is dialed in right now, and that’s when he’s most effective. Edmund hasn’t had a ton of success with his return, but he usually does jut enough to win competitive matches when he’s getting so many free points.
Edmund should win his third match against Lajovic.