Halep vs. Svitolina
|Date & Time||Sunday May 20, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Elina Svitolina and Simona Halep meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Rome Masters.
Elina Svitolina is coming off a straight sets win over Anett Kontaveit that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Svitolina won 68 percent of her first serve points and 65 percent of her second serve points. Svitolina had little trouble in the semifinals, winning 67 percent of her total service points and converting on four of five break chances. Svitolina has now won 22 of her last 29 sets on clay court and continues to have a great deal of success with her return. Svitolina has lost a combined 20 games in her last six sets. Svitolina hopes to win her third title of the year and the 12th title of her career. Svitolina has won each of her last seven final appearances and is 3-0 in finals on clay court. Svitolina has a chance at her fourth career Premier 5 Tournament title and her second straight Rome Masters title. Svitolina has won 10 of her last 12 matches on clay court.
Simona Halep is coming off a three sets win over Maria Sharapova that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Halep won 52 percent of her first serve points and 36 percent of her second serve points. Halep is coming off her worst service performance of the season, but she still managed to win thanks to breaking 11 times. Halep won 63 percent of her return points and gave herself 17 break chances overall. Halep has to obviously play better this time around, but it’s nice to see she can win without playing her complete best. Halep hopes to win her second title of the year and her 17th of her career. Halep has lost five of her last six final appearances but is 1-0 in her career in final appearances on clay. Halep can win her fourth career Premier 5 Tournament title and first since the 2016 Canadian Open. Halep has won seven of her last eight matches on clay court.
These two have played four times and Svitolina has won three of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2017 WTA Championships, a match Svitolina won in straight sets. Halep’s only win over Svitolina came in the 2017 French Open.
You can make a case for either one of these players given their form and their recent history on clay, but I’m siding with Halep. She’s been the more consistent player this season and has the advantage serving wise. In two meetings on clay, Halep has also been the better player.
Give me Halep to win the title, but it will be close.