Fabio Fognini vs. Gilles Simon 4/17/19 Monte Carlo Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Fabio Fognini vs. Gilles Simon
Wednesday, April 17, 2019 at 5:30 AM (Monte Carlo Country Club)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Fabio Fognini and Gilles Simon meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Monte Carlo.
Fabio Fognini is coming off a three sets win over Andrey Rublev that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Fognini won 67 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Fognini won 57 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his eight break points. Fognini entered this tournament with losses in seven of his last eight matches and with no recent success on clay, so a win however it comes is good news for the Italian. Fognini must be sharper with his serve, however, if he’s going to advance any further in this tournament. Fognini has a chance to win back-to-back matches for the first time since the Australian Open. Fognini has lost six of his last seven matches on clay court.
Gilles Simon is coming off a straight sets win over Alexei Popyrin that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Simon won 70 percent of his first serve points and 42 percent of his second serve points. Simon won 78 percent of his total service points and converted on six of his nine break points. Simon has rally turned his season around these last couple of weeks on clay, as he entered Marrakech losing six of his last 10 matches and having a hard time with his serve. With wins in eight of his last 10 sets on clay, it’s fair to say that Simon is playing his most cosnsitent tennis of the season, even if it’s a bit of a small sample size. Simon hopes to make the third round of Monte Carlo for the sixth time in his career. Simon has won four of his last five matches on clay court.
These two have played five times and Simon has won all five meetings, including the most recent match in the 2012 Madrid Masters. All five of the meetings were on clay and three of them were decided in straight sets.
I’m not sure what to put into the overwhelming h2h numbers, as these guys haven’t played in nearly seven years. Sure, five wins is five wins, but these players have gone different directions since. And while Fognini is the better player at this moment, he’s not playing well right now and nearly gave up his opening match to a guy barely ranked inside the top-100. Simon has improved his form these last couple of weeks on clay and looks to be the more confident player right now.
I give the slight edge to Simon to win this match, his sixth straight against Fognini.