Fernando Verdasco vs. Matteo Berrettini
|Date & Time||Friday February 8, 2019, 6:00 AM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Fernando Verdasco and Matteo Berrettini meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Sofia Open.
Fernando Verdasco is coming off a three sets win over Marius Copil that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Verdasco won 75 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Verdasco won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his eight break points. Verdasco has been in complete control of his first two matches and has been pretty dominant with his serve. When Verdasco is dialed in and not letting his emotions take control of his game, he’s more than capable of winning a tournament that has such a wide open field. Verdasco looks to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since making the semifinals in Vienna back in October. Verdasco has won six of his last eight matches on indoor hard court.
Matteo Berrettini is coming off a three sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Berrettini won 78 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Berrettini won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his seven break points. Berrettini finished 2018 with a serious thud, but beating a borderline top-10 player, esecpially after dropping the first set, has to do wonders for his confidence moving forward. In his last two matches, Berrettini has shown what he’s capable of when he’s hitting his spots and not making silly errors. Berrettini has a chance to win three straight matches in a single tournament for the first time since winning last years Swiss Open back in July. Berrettini has won three of his last five matches on indoor hard court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
Berrettini has the edge in terms of rest advantage and is coming off one of his bigger performances in quite some time. While two wins doesn’t completely make us forget about the struggles, it’s far to say this is a different Berrettini than what we’ve seen the past few months. With that said, Verdasco has his serve dialed in, and he’s a tough player to match up against when he’s playing at this level. Unless he’s facing a top-20 player or somebody in the big four, Verdasco is more than capable of dragging his opponent when serving at this level.
I’m comfortable backing Verdasco here, although it will be a tight match.