Frances Tiafoe vs. Grigor Dimitrov
|Date & Time||Saturday January 19, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Frances Tiafoe and Grigor Dimitrov meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Frances Tiafoe is coming off a five sets win over Andreas Seppi that took 51 games to decide. In the victory, Tiafoe won 80 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Tiafoe won 71 percent of his total service points and produced five breaks on 10 break points. Tiafoe hit 56 winners in the match and showed great power, but he must control his unforced errors if he hopes to make an even deeper run. Tiafoe had a lot of hits off the side of his racket and allows his opponent to hang around. Tiafoe can win four matches in a single tournament since making the final last May in Estoril. Tiafoe has a chance to make his first ever grand slam quarterfinal. Tiafoe has won three of his last four matches on hard court.
Grigor Dimitrov is coming off a straight sets win over Thomas Fabbiano that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Dimitrov won 85 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Dimitrov won 76 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his five break points. Dimitrov has won six of his eight sets this tournament and has done a very impressive job with his overall serve. Dimitrov has been broken just twice in his last two matches and has produced 39 aces throughout the whole tournament. Dimitrov hopes to make his fifth career grand slam quarterfinal, and this would be his fourth at the Australian Open. Dimitrov has won five of his last six matches on hard court.
These two have played twice with Dimitrov winning both matches. The most recent meeting was in last years Laver Cup, and the other match took place in Toronto last year, a match that needed two tiebreaks.
Dimitrov should obviously be the favorite and has a lot of things going from him in this match given his overall game, the two matches last year and the experience. Dimitrov is a win away from making the quarterfinals in the Australian Open for the fourth time in the last six years. He obviously likes these courts. However, Tiafoe is a player who is quietly starting to come into his own and is winning matches despite not playing all that well. If Tiafoe can trim his unforced errors, watch out. Either way, Tiafoe has a certain swagger going on right now and we always see one or two players who breakthrough on the grand slam stage. Dimitrov also has a history of letting nerves get the best of him, so an upset here wouldn’t be all that shocking.
I’ll side with Tiafoe to make the quarterfinal.