Roger Federer vs. Frances Tiafoe
|Date & Time||Tuesday January 1, 2019, 5:30 AM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Frances Tiafoe and Roger Federer meet in the round robin stages of the 2018 tennis Hopman Cup.
Frances Tiafoe is coming off a three sets loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas that took 31 games to decide. In the losing effort, Tiafoe won 76 percent of his first serve points and 45 percent of his second serve points. Tiafoe won 61 percent of his total service points and gave his opponent 12 break points. Tiafoe had good moments in the losing effort, which included winning a second set tiebreak, but he has to be more consistent with his second serve and must clean up the unforced errors. Tiafoe is a super talented player and it will come together at some point, and playing top tier competition in this tournament will only help him grow. Tiafoe has lost four of his last five matches on indoor hard court.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Cameron Norrie that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 73 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Federer won 70 percent of his total service points and managed to save all five of his break points. It wasn’t the cleanest match in the world for Federer, as he’s capable of playing even better, but it was certainly impressive for him considering he hasn’t played in over a month. Federer can still tweak some things, and of course, that will come with more reps under his belt. Each of Federer’s last seven victories in completed matches have been decided in straight sets. Federer has split his last six matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played three times and Federer has won all three meetings. The most recent meeting was in Basel in 2017, a match Federer won in straight sets. Two of the three meetings have been decided in straight sets.
Tiafoe is crazy talented and we’ll continue to make money on him in underdog spots, but this isn’t one of them. Tiafoe continues to pile up the unforced errors and isn’t sharp with his second serve, so he’s playing into the hands of Federer, who mops the floor with players who beat themselves. Once Federer finds an opening, he squeezes the life out of the match and ends things rather quickly.
Federer wins in straight sets.