Thiem vs. Monfils
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 15, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Thiem +104 / Monfils -112 -- Over/Under:
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Gael Monfils and Dominic Thiem meet Wednesday in the round of 16 in the 2017 Indian Wells Masters.
Gael Monfils is coming off a straight sets win over John Isner that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Monfils won 79 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Monfils is coming off possibly his most impressive win of the 2017 season, as he dominated a very solid American and had eight chances to break the toughest server in the game. Monfils, of course, has drastic improvement last season on his focus and mental game, and we saw more of that in his last match. If Monfils can continue consistent play and make deeper runs in tournaments, he’ll be a top-10 player in the world in no time. Monfils has won seven of his last nine matches on hard court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Mischa Zverev that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 88 percent of his first serve points and 69 percent of his second serve points. Thiem is another player who is starting to turn the corner recently, as he’s climbing the rankings to the No. 9 spot and recently won the Rio Open. Thiem has always had the potential to be one of the better players in the world but has struggled with consistency and poor shot selection. The Thiem we’ve seen the last couple months is very dangerous, and he’s lost just 11 combined games in his last two matches. Thiem is a player to watch for all of the 2017 season. Thiem has won seven of his last nine matches on hard court.
These two have played twice in the past and Thiem has won both meetings. The most recent match was in the 2016 ATP World Tour Finals, a match Thiem won in three sets. The other match was in Umag in 2015. This will be the first time meeting on outdoor hard court.
This should be a fun match between two guys with all the talent in the world but are capable of a hiccup here and there. With both players improved and playing some of their most consistent tennis of their life, it’s a must-watch. If I had to pick, I give the edge to Monfils based on experience and the fact I trust him just a tad bit more. Monfils has been sharper with the return lately and has the shotmaking to counter and frustrate Thiem.
It’s a slight edge, but I see the Frenchman getting it done.