Kyle Edmund vs. Gael Monfils
|Date & Time||Sunday October 21, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Gael Monfils and Kyle Edmund meet in the final of the 2018 tennis European Open.
Gael Monfils is coming off a straight sets win over Diego Sebastian Schwartzman that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Monfils won 75 percent of his first serve points and 58 percent of his second serve points. Monfils won 68 percent of his total service points and produced 10 aces in a victory that took a little over an hour. Monfils has won eight of his nine sets this tournament and has double-digit aces in all four of his matches. Monfils doesn’t look like the same player who entered this tournament on a three-match losing streak. Monfils hopes to win his second title of the year and his his eighth title of his career. Monfils has lost 11 of his last 15 final appearances and is 6-13 in final appearances on hard court for his career. Monfils has won 10 of his last 11 matches on indoor hard court.
Kyle Edmund is coming off a straight sets win over Richard Gasquet that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Edmund won 91 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Edmund won 72 percent of his total service points and saved all five of his break points. Edmund lost just three of 35 first serve points and hasn’t been broken in his last four sets. Edmund has now won 10 of his last 12 matches, easily some of the most consistent tennis of his career. Edmund has played a little over two hours to get to this point after his quarterfinal match was a walkover. Edmund has a chance to win his first ever ATP singles title, as his only other final appearance was in this years Grand Prix Hassan II, which was a straight sets loss. Edmund has won five of his last six matches on indoor hard court.
These two have met once, which was in the 2017 Wimbledon, a match Monfils won in straight sets. The match took 33 games to be decided and included a first set tiebreak.
Monfils obviously has the clear experience edge and dominated Edmund in their only meeting. However, Edmund has far less wear and tear on him heading into this match and is currently playing some of his best, most consistent tennis. Edmund has played a little over two hours this tournament to get to this point. Also, despite how talented Monfils is, he’s come up very small in final appearances over the course of his career.
I give Edmund the edge to win his first ever title.