Pliskova vs. Muguruza
|Date & Time||Tuesday October 24, 2017, 10:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: Pliskova -116 / Muguruza +100 -- Over/Under: 22
Garbine Muguruza and Karolina Pliskova meet in the 2017 WTA Finals.
Garbine Muguruza is coming off a straight sets win over Jelena Ostapenko that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Muguruza won 74 percent of her first serve points and 32 percent of her second serve points. Muguruza got 71 percent of her first serves in play and won 48 percent of her return points, breaking five times, but she can certainly improve her second serve numbers. The lack of consistency with her second serve has been a serious issue for Muguruza in her recent matches and could prevent her from winning this tournament if they continue. However, for the most part, Muguruza hit the ball well in her opening victory and will always be a threat if she continues to be aggressive with the return. Muguruza has won five of her last eight matches on hard court.
Karolina Pliskova is coming off a straight sets win over Venus Williams that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 78 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova has kind of been hit or miss since the US Open, but she’s fresh off a match in which he got 65 percent of her first serves in play, and she won 25 of 32 first serve points. Of curse, we all know the serve is everything with Pliskova, as when she’s hitting her spots, she’s damn near impossible to beat with her overwhelming power. When Pliskova is getting less than 60 percent of her first serves in play is when trouble happens. Pliskova is in her second WTA Finals and hopes to make it out of the round robin stages for the first time. Pliskova has won six of her last nine matches on hard court.
These two have played eight times and Pliskova has won six of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Cincinnati Masters, a match Muguruza won in straight sets. Pliskova won the previous six matches before that and five of the last six overall were decided in straight sets.
This is going to be a fun match between a terrific server and an aggressive returner. Getting even money with Muguruza is intriguing, but you can’t ignore the head to head numbers. She struggles against the power server, and Muguruza is coming off a match in which Ostapenko saw eight break chances. That won’t fly against Pliskova.
I like Pliskova to get the victory here.