Mladenovic vs. Muguruza
|Date & Time||Sunday June 4, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Garbine Muguruza and Kristina Mladenovic meet in the fourth round of the 2017 French Open.
Garbine Muguruza is coming off a straight sets win over Yulia Putintseva that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Muguruza won 73 percent of her first serve points and 30 percent of her second serve points. Muguruza is looking like the defending French Open champion with each match, as she's broken her opponent a combined 17 times this tournament and has hit 53 winners in her last two matches. Muguruza has that pep in her step that we’re used to seeing when she's playing well, and you have to like her chances to repeat if she's going to continue returning the way she has. Muguruza hopes to make her sixth career grand slam quarterfinal. Muguruza has also made the quarters in her last three French Open appearances. Muguruza has won six of her last seven matches on clay court.
Kristina Mladenovic is coming off a three set win over Shelby Rogers that took 36 games to decide. In the victory, Mladenovic won 79 percent of her first serve points and 42 percent of her second serve points. Mladenovic is coming off a lengthy third round match that included a 14-game third set, and shes now played eight sets overall to get to this point. Mladenovic has hit 109 winners in three matches and is getting an extra boost from the crowd, as she's in the fourth round of her home grand slam for the first time. Mladenovic hopes to make her second career grand slam quarterfinal and first since the 2015 US Open. Mladenovic already has four wins this season over top-10 players. Mladenovic has won eight of her last 10 matches on clay court.
These two have played once in the past, which was in the 2015 Morocco Open, a match Mladenovic won in straight sets. The match took 26 games to decide.
If you're looking for a fourth round upset, Mladenovic could be a solid pick given the way she's hitting winners and the fact she's going to be a massive crowd favorite. If you can hit 40-plus winners like Mladenovic has done, you have a chance to beat anybody on a given day. However, Muguruza has the experience of winning this tournament last year and there's not many players who can match her when she's playing in this form.
Close and fun match, but I give the edge to Muguruza.