Madison Keys vs Garbine Muguruza
|Date & Time||Saturday November 3, 2018, 7:30 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Garbine Muguruza will play Madison Keys in the semifinals of the 2018 WTA Elite Trophy in China.
Garbine Muguruza has been in impressive form in this tournament as she won both of her matches in the group stages. In her last outing, Muguruza beat Sevastova in 3 sets after the Spaniard lost the opening set via a tiebreaker. During the match, Muguruza returned serve exceptionally well as she won close to 45% of the points played during Sevastova’s serve which allowed her to win 6 break points. In this tournament, Muguruza has averaged 5.5 return games won per match which means that most opponents are struggling to serve to her. Muguruza is hugely experienced and having had a strong Asian leg of the tour, she will feel she is in a good position to win this match.
On the other side of the coin, Madison Keys lost to Wang Qiang in her previous match but makes it through to the semifinals thanks to her opening win which was in straight sets. Keys was outclassed in her match against Wang as she lost 6 service games and only won 4 games in her last 2 sets. Keys has struggled with injury recently and that looked to have an effect as she was slower than usual. This match will be very tough for Madison Keys as Muguruza is an exceptional receiver and baseline player, and she will ensure that Keys will have to run a lot which is not her strength following her injury.
Garbine Muguruza and Madison Keys have played 4 times in the past. Keys has the stronger head-to-head record of 3-1 although Muguruza won the most recent match which was at the 2017 Western and Southern Open.
All in all, I am picking Garbine Muguruza to win this match. Muguruza is playing better tennis and she has the right skills to expose Keys’ lack of match fitness. Having won both of her opening matches, I see Garbine Muguruza winning this fixture and making the final of the WTA Elite Trophy.