Shuai Zhang vs. Garbine Muguruza
|Date & Time||Monday August 27, 2018, 6:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Garbine Muguruza and Shuai Zhang meet in the first round of the 2018 tennis US Open.
Garbine Muguruza enters this tournament losing three of her last four matches, which includes a first round exit in Cincinnati. Muguruza is coming off a performance in which she won just 28 of her second serve points and gave her opponent 13 break points. Muguruza has lost six of her last 13 matches overall and can often look a little nonchalant on the court, which makes things even more frustrating. Which makes things even more concerning is that Muguruza has won just 50 percent of her US Open matches, which is head and shoulders her least successful grand slam. Muguruza hasn’t lost in the first round of a grand slam since the 2014 US Open. Muguruza has won seven of her last nine matches on hard court.
Shuai Zhang enters this tournament losing eight of her 12 matches and has won just three matches since the Wimbledon. Zhang is coming off a performance in which she won just 48 percent of total service points and had four double faults. The second serve has given Zhang serious trouble in her losses, as opponents have feasted on it and used it to put her behind the eight ball in matches. If Zhang is going to pull off the upset tin this match, that’s an area that has to drastically improve. Zhang has made it out of the first round of a grand slam in six of her last eight appearances. Zhang has split her last six matches on hard court.
These two have split the previous two matches, as Zhang won in the 2017 Doha Open and Muguruza won in the 2017 Miami Open. Both matches were decided in three sets.
Muguruza is so hit or miss that she’s never a safe bet to win a match, as her confidence is easily shot and the unforced errors pile up. I try to avoid Muguruza often when betting WTA tennis. However, Zhang has been so bad with her second serve that it’s hard seeing her get the job done here or even compete.
Muguruza wins this match easily.