Raonic vs. Dimitrov
|Date & Time||Tuesday May 8, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Grigor Dimitrov and Milos Raonic meet in the second round of the 2018 tennis Madrid Masters.
Grigor Dimitrov enters this tournament in hit or miss form, as he’s split his last 12 matches and has made just one final appearance since winning the ATP Finals last November. Dimitrov is also coming off a rough straight sets loss to Pablo Carreno Busta in which he won just 36 percent of his return points and gave his opponent nine break chances. Dimitrov has never been at his best on clay, as the French Open has been his worst grand slam winning percentage wise, but he’s capable of playing much better than what he’s shown recently. Getting a feel for Dimitrov early will be key to his betting value the rest of the clay season. Dimitrov has lost in the second round of a Masters 1000 twice since 2017. Dimitrov has won seven of his last 10 matches on clay court.
Milos Raonic is coming off a straight sets win over Nicolas Kicker that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 86 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 76 percent of his overall service points and wasn’t broken once, which was some of the best tennis we’ve seen him play so far this season. Raonic has had his ups and downs at time this season, but when he’s using his power game to his advantage and getting a ton of free points with his serve, he’s proven he’s capable of beating anybody on tour, and his first round victory showed just that. Raonic has lost in the second round of a Masters 1000 twice since 2016. Raonic has won six of his last eight matches on clay court.
These two have played five times and Dimitrov has won four of those meetings. The most recent match was in Brisbane of last year, a match he won in straight sets. Raonic’s only win over Dimitrov came in Stockholm of 2011.
Raonic has a chance to steal this match if he can play the way he did in the first round, but he’s struggled with consistency so far this season. Dimitrov is rested, due for a breakout performance and has owned the head to head, which includes not losing to Raonic in seven years.
Dimitrov in possibly three sets.