Marco Cecchinato vs. Guido Pella
|Date & Time||Sunday July 22, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Guido Pella and Marco Cecchinato meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Croatia Open.
Guido Pella is coming off a three sets win over Robin Haase that took 24 games to decide. In the victory, Pella won 67 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Pella lost just five games in the two sets he won and managed to win 65 percent of his total service points while breaking on four of his eight chances. Pella has produced a combined 16 breaks in his last four matches and has managed to win three matches that have gone the distance, proving he’s capable of coming away with the big points in clutch moments. We’ll now see if Pella can finish a tournament, as the 28-year-old has a poor track record when it comes to playing on the big stage. Pella hopes to win his first ever ATP singles title. Pella is in his first final appearance sine the 2017 Bavarian Championships and is 0-2 in previous final appearances. Pella has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.
Marco Cecchinato is coming off a straight sets win over Marco Trungelliti that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Cecchinato won 69 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Cecchinato won 63 percent of his total service points and managed to save four of his five break chances. Cecchinato has lost a combined eight games in his last four sets and is coming off a performance in which he won 61 percent of his return points. If Cecchinato can continue to be aggressive with his return while getting 70-plus percent of his first serves in play, he’s going to be in great shape come Sunday morning. Cecchinato has a chance to win his second career ATP singles title to go along with this years Hungarian Open title. This is Cecchinato’s second career final appearance. Cecchinato has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.
These two have played twice and have split those meetings. Pella won in 2017 challenger play and Cecchinato won in 2015 challenger play. Both matches took place on indoor clay.
Pella has motivation on his side, as he’s hungry for his first title and one that could help take his career tot the next level. However, Cecchinato is playing really high quality tennis at the moment, as he also made deep runs in Eastbourne and the French Open, and he has both his serve and return working. The Italian is the better player right now and can sneak into the top-20 in the world if he can continue this form.
I like Cecchinato to win his second career title.