Guido Pella vs. Marco Cecchinato
|Date & Time||Thursday April 18, 2019, 5:00 AM (EDT)|
Monte Carlo Country Club
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Guido Pella and Marco Cecchinato meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Monte Carlo.
Guido Pella is coming off a three sets win over Marin Cilic that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Pella won 54 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Pella won 64 percent of his total service points and converted on eight of his 13 break points. Pella was in complete control of the two sets he won, which included winning each of the final six games in the final set to close the match. It was easily the biggest win of the season for Pella considering opponent, and he’s now won six of his last seven matches that have gone the distance. As long as Pella is aggressive with his return like he has been recently, he’s going to be a tough out no matter who he plays. Pella has won nine of his last 11 matches on clay court.
Marco Cecchinato is coming off a three sets win over Stan Wawrinka that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Cecchinato won 67 percent of his first serve points and 45 percent of his second serve points. Cecchinato won 60 percent of his total service points and converted on all three of his break points. Cecchinato managed to win a match after dropping the first set 0-6 in about 20 minutes. Cecchinato was able to take advantage of a subpar Wawrinka serve and managed to save all four of his break points in the final set. Cecchinato can make the quarterfinals of a Masters 1000 for the first time in his career. Cecchinato has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.
These two have played four times and Cecchinato won three of those matches. The most recent match was this year in Buenos Aires, a match Cecchinato won in straight sets. All four matches were on clay and Pella’s only win was a 2017 challenger event. All four matches were also decided in straight sets.
Both of these players are enjoying some of their best stretch of their careers and you can make a strong argument for either side. However, Cecchinato has won three of the four matches against Pella, all on clay, and that includes a win just a couple of months ago. When a h2h history is that strong, it usually continues.
I’m going to back Cecchinato to win this match.