Guido Pella vs. Milos Raonic
|Date & Time||Monday July 8, 2019, 9:30 AM (EDT)|
All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club
London, United Kingdom
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Guido Pella and Milos Raonic meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Wimbledon.
Guido Pella is coming off a straight sets win over Kevin Anderson that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Pella won 76 percent of his first serve points and 44 percent of his second serve points. Pella won 67 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 11 break points. Pella got 70 percent of his first serves in play, saved eight of his nine break points and had just 13 break points. It was Pella’s fourth career win over a top-10 player and gives him three straight victories for the first time since Barcelona. If Pella can keep his unforced error numbers that low moving forward, he has a shot to pull off another upset most don’t see coming. Pella has a chance to make his first ever grand slam quarterfinal. Pella has won three of his last five matches on grass court.
Milos Raonic is coming off a straight sets win over Reilly Opelka that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 93 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 85 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his 10 break points. Raonic got 75 percent of his first serves in play, saved all three of his break points and had 13 aces. Raonic has won all nine sets this tournament and his first serve has been absolutely ridiculous. Raonic hopes to make his 10th career grand slam quarterfinal and his fourth straight at Wimbledon. Raonic is 9-4 in his last 13 grand slam fourth round matches. Raonic has won five of his last six matches on grass court.
There’s no match history between these two players.
Raonic has a history of success at Wimbledon and it’s actually his most successful grand slam in terms of winning percentage. There’s no reason to think he’s going to get tripped up here given his serve, as he’s been lights out with his first serve and has been piling up the free points. Give Pella credit for making it to the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time and beating a top-10 player for the fourth time, but the competition now gets a lot tougher and there’s not much that suggests he’ll be able to take his game to another level.
Raonic has to be a heavy favorite here, and I’ll back him in straights.