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Hubert Hurkacz vs. Denis Shapovalov 3/13/19 ATP Tour Indian Wells Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Denis Shapovalov
Date & Time Wednesday March 13, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Indian Wells Tennis Garden
Indian Wells, California
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Indian Wells.

Hubert Hurkacz is coming off a straight sets win over Kei Nishikori that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Hurkacz won 84 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Hurkacz won 69 percent of his total service points and won three of his nine break points. Hurkacz just wouldn’t take no for an answer, as he won despite dropping the first set, and he won four of the final five games to produce his second career win over a top-10 player. Hurkacz has now won back-to-back three set matches this tournament and has actually been on the winning side in four of his last six matches that have gone the distance. While it’s not always pretty, Hurkacz has to be one confident player at the moment. Hurkacz has won five of his last six matches on outdoor hard court.

Denis Shapovalov is coming off a straight sets win over Marin Cilic that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Shapovalov won 91 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Shapovalov won 75 percent of his total service points and saved both of his break points. Shapovalov has won 68 of 75 first serve points in his first two matches, which is an unreal percentage and a formula that gives him a fighting chance against anybody in this remaining field if he can keep it up. The problem with Shapovalov is the consistency, as he shows flashes of brilliance but can also fizzle out just as quickly as he got hot. Shapovalov looks to make a quarterfinal of a Masters 1000 for the third time in his career. Shapovalov has won four of his last five matches on outdoor hard court.

There’s no match history between these two players.

This should be a fun matchup between two young players on the rise, but Shapovalov has to have the edge here with the way he’s serving. The guy isn’t losing first serve points and his ability to hold serve allows him to play loose on the return and put a little more pressure on his opponent. Yes, Shapovalov does have issues with maintaining his level of play from match to match, but he’s played well enough his first two matches to suggest he can keep this going against somebody who hasn’t been on this stage before.

Shapovalov reaches the quarterfinals of Indian Wells.

Pick:
Denis Shapovalov

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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