Andrea Petkovic vs. Jelena Ostapenko
|Date & Time||Monday August 27, 2018, 6:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Jelena Ostapenko and Andrea Petkovic meet in the first round of the 2018 tennis US Open.
Jelena Ostapenko lost her opening matches in Montreal and Cincinnati, which means she enters this tournament on a three-match losing streak and hasn’t won in the Wimbledon. Ostapenko is coming off a three set loss in which she won 50 percent of her service points and had 10 double faults. Ostapenko has a combined 23 double faults in her last three matches, which obviously isn’t going to get it done and isn’t what we’re used to seeing from the 21-year-old. A fast start is key for a player who relies on confidence and momentum the way Ostapenko does. Ostapenko has lost in the first round of a grand slam once since 2017. Ostapenko has lost three straight matches on hard court.
Andrea Petkovic enters this tournament losing three of her last four matches when you include qualifying, and the only tournament she’s played in since the Wimbledon was the Citi Open. Petkovic retired when trying to qualify in Connecticut due to a thigh injury, so it will be interesting to see how healthy she is for this match. When in good form, the 30-year-old German isn’t somebody who should be slept on. Petkovic has 12 career wins over top-10 players and one of those wins came this year. Petkovic has made it out of the first round of a grand slam in seven of her last 10 appearances. Petkovic is just 3-8 in her career in the US Open. Petkovic has won four of her last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2016 Doha Open, a match Ostapenko won Ostapenko won in straight sets. Petkovic retired early in the second set after dropping the first set.
This is one of the more interesting first round matches, as nobody knows what to expect from Ostapenko given her recent matches. Petkovic is more than capable of an upset if Ostapenko is still struggling. But I’m going to give Ostapenko the benefit of the doubt, as she’s been one of the more consistent players the last couple of years and it doesn’t take much for her to get back in her fiery spirit.
I’ll take Ostapenko for the victory.