Jelena Ostapenko vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova 6/26/19 Eastbourne Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Jelena Ostapenko vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wednesday, June 26, 2019 at 8:00 AM (Devonshire Park Lawn Tennis Club)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Jelena Ostapenko and Ekaterina Alexandrova meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Eastbourne International.
Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a three sets win over Sloane Stephens that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 66 percent of her first serve points and 37 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko won 53 percent of her total service points and converted on seven of her 12 break points. Ostapenko got 56 percent of her first serves in play and saved six of her 11 break points. Give Ostapenko credit for beating a top-10 player, easily her best win of the season, but she has to be better with her serve and clean up the 14 double faults she had in her recent victory. Ostapenko looks to win three straight matches for the first time since making the semifinals of last years Wimbledon. Ostapenko has won four of her last five matches on grass court.
Ekaterina Alexandrova is coming off a three sets win over Belinda Bencic that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Alexandrova won 71 percent of her first serve points and 49 percent of her second serve points. Alexandrova won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 12 break points. Alexandrova got 50 percent of her first serves in play and saved six of her nine break points. Alexandrova is another player who can clean up the silly mistakes, as she had eight double faults in the victory and had issues getting her first serve in play. Alexandrova looks to win three straight matches for the first time since Budapest back in February. Alexandrova has won four of her last six matches on grass court.
These two have played three times and Alexandrova has won two of those matches, including the most recent last year in Seoul. Ostapenko’s only win came in 2015 ITF play. This will be the first match on grass.
Both of these players have struggled on the main tour over the last year or so and they were rough with their serve even in victory. This will come down to who can hold serve for two or three straight games. I’m giving the slight edge to Ostapenko because she’s a player who is far and away better than what her results have shown. It’s a matter of time before she snaps out of this funk and maybe beating a top-10 player was the spark she needed.
I like Ostapenko to make the quarters.