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Jelena Ostapenko vs. Karolina Pliskova 2017 WTA Finals Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Pliskova vs. Ostapenko
Date & Time Thursday October 26, 2017, 11:00 AM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Bein Sports
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Tennis | Pliskova vs. Ostapenko
USA TODAY Sports

Jelena Ostapenko and Karolina Pliskova meet in the 2017 WTA Finals.

Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a three sets loss to Venus Williams that took 37 games to decide. In the loss, Ostapenko won 51 percent of her first serve points and 40 percent of her second serve points. It was another frustrating performance from Ostapenko, as she had 13 double faults and won just 45 percent of her total service points. Despite winning 50 percent of her return points and having plenty of chances to takeover the match, Ostapenko just couldn’t close the deal and the anger really got to her in the third set. Ostapenko has now lost six of her last seven sets played, and you have to wonder how she’ll bounce back for this performance. Not only has Ostapenko’s confidence taken a hit, but she did just play over three hours in her second match, so fatigue could be a factor as well. Ostapenko has split her last eight matches on hard court.

Karolina Pliskova is coming off a straight sets win over Garbine Muguruza that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 69 percent of her first serve points and 76 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova won 72 percent of her service points and 55 percent of her return points, simply dominating one of the best players in the world in less than an hour. Pliskova has now won all four sets played and has dropped a combined eight games in her first two matches. She’s simply been lights out in her first two matches. While Pliskova has been a little shaky since the US Open, there’s no doubt she’s found her form this tournament and should probably be considered the favorite to win the title at this point. Pliskova has won six of her last eight matches on hard court.

These two have played twice and Pliskova has won both meetings. The most recent match was in this years Australian Open, a match that went three sets. The other match was in the 2016 Cincinnati Masters, a match Pliskova won in 17 games. 

I’m no sure how anybody can bet against Pliskova in this spot, as she’s been the most consistent player in this tournament so far and just made light work of Muguruza. Ostapenko is coming off a three hour match, and her confidence can’t be that high given the results. Pliskova is going to put pressure on Ostapenko to hold serve, and I’m not sure she can be that clean based on her past performances. Not to mention the head to head numbers.

Pliskova sweeps the round robin play.

Pick:
Karolina Pliskova

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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