Jennifer Brady vs. Caroline Garcia
|Date & Time||Saturday June 15, 2019, 8:30 AM (EDT)|
Nottingham Tennis Centre
Nottingham, United Kingdom
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Jennifer Brady and Caroline Garcia meet in the semifinals of the 2019 tennis Nottingham Open.
Jennifer Brady is coming off a straight sets win over Maria Sakkari that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Brady won 67 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Brady won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her nine break points. Brady got 61 percent of her first serves in play and hit eight aces. Brady has won six of her seven sets this tournament and all three of her victories have come against players with a higher rank. Brady could still improve her second serve, but this clearly doesn’t look like the same player who entered this tournament losing seven of her last 10 matches. Brady looks to make her first career singles final appearance on the main tour. Brady has won six of her last nine matches on grass court.
Caroline Garcia is coming off a three sets win over Elena Gabriela Ruse that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 72 percent of her first serve points and 69 percent of her second serve points. Garcia won 71 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her seven break points. Garcia got 68 percent of her first serves in play and saved three of her four break points. Garcia had to dig deep to win a two hour match after dropping the first set, and she got more consistent with her second serve as the match played out. Garcia has now won four of her last six matches that have gone the distance. Garcia looks to make her second final appearance of the year and the 10th of her career. Garcia has won five of her last seven matches on grass court.
These two have played five times and Brady has won three of those matches, including the most recent this year in Indian Wells. Brady has won the last three meetings against Garcia. This will be the first meeting on grass. Four of the five meetings have been decided in straight sets.
Brady obviously has the edge in terms of the head to head. However, Brady’s questionable second serve will be her downfall in this match, as Garcia is very comfortable on this surface and usually controls the pace well. Garcia also got stronger as her quarterfinal match played out and that’s something that could carryover to this match. We’re starting to see Garcia put together some consistency and that’s key when going up against players who aren’t used to making deep tournament runs on the main tour.
I like Garcia to make her second final of the year.