Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Milos Raonic 6/12/19 Stuttgart Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Milos Raonic
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 5:30 AM (Tennis Club Weissenhof)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Milos Raonic meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Stuttgart Open.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is coming off a straight sets win over Mischa Zverev that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Tsonga won 88 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Tsonga won 76 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his nine break points. Tsonga got 73 percent of his first serves in play and didn’t face a single break point. Tsonga won each of his last nine games in a victory that took under an hour to complete, which is a nice confidence boost for the talented Frenchman who is still working his way back in the swing of things. The results are still hit or miss, but Tsonga is looking better and better with each set. Tsonga hopes to win at least two matches for the fourth time in his last eight tournaments. Tsonga has won five of his last six matches on grass court.
Milos Raonic is coming off a three sets win over Alexei Popyrin that took 36 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 94 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 78 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his seven break points. Raonic got 49 percent of his first serves in play, hit 31 aces and faced just two break points. While the first serve percentage obviously has to improve, Raonic is going to be just fine moving forward if he’s going to pile up that many free points with his serve. It was some of the best tennis Raonic has played this season and quite impressive for somebody who hasn’t played since Miami. Raonic hopes to win at least two matches for the third time in his last six tournaments. Raonic has won five of his last six matches on grass court.
These two have played seven times and Raonic has won four of those matches, including the most recent match in Paris of last year. Only three of the seven matches have been decided in straight sets. Tsonga won the only meeting on grass, which was a 2017 exhibition in Hurlingham.
This is a fun match between two top tier players who are still trying to get back to form. The difference is Tsonga has been consistently playing and slowly but surely looking good, while Raonic struggled mightily with his first serve in his last match and it was his first match since Miami. It’s hard to beat a quality player immediately after taking three months off, and he has no chance to do it if he's going to get less than 50 percent of his first serves in play.
I have to give the edge to Tsonga.