Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
|Date & Time||Thursday May 23, 2019, 9:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Nikoloz Basilashvili meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Lyon Open.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is coming off a three sets win over Steven Diez that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Tsonga won 80 percent of his first serve points and 39 percent of his second serve points. Tsonga won 65 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his eight break points. Tsonga got 63 percent of his first serves in play and saved 12 of his 15 break points. Tsonga has hit a combined 15 aces in his first two matches and is starting to get that pep in his step. However, Tsonga has to be better with his second serve in order to return to the player he was before his injury. Tsonga hopes to win three straight matches for the third time since the Australian Open. Tsonga has won four of his last six matches on clay court.
Nikoloz Basilashvili is coming off a straight sets win over Tristan Lamasine that took 24 games to decide. In the victory, Basilashvili won 71 percent of his first serve points and 44 percent of his second serve points. Basilashvili won 62 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his eight break points. Basilashvili got 68 percent of his first serves in play and saved two of his four break points. Basilashvili has now won six of his last eight sets and continues to get a high percentage of his first serves in play, even in his loss to Rafael Nadal. Basilashvili hopes to win two straight matches for the fourth time in his last eight tournaments. Basilashvili has split his last six matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in Lyon 2017, a match Tsonga won in three sets. The match took 24 games to be decided.
Tsonga is more than capable of winning this match as long as he improves his second serve, and we’ve made some money on him in the underdog role a few times since his return. The problem is Tsonga is still working his way back and ironing out the wrinkles, and Basilashvili has been consistent for the most part and is somebody who will pounce on those openings. A top-20 player, Tsonga will have to play very clean tennis and I’m not sure he’s at that point just yet.
I like Basilashvili to make the semifinals.