Del Potro vs. Isner
|Date & Time||Friday March 30, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
John Isner and Juan Martin Del Potro meet in the semifinals of the tennis 2018 Miami Open.
John Isner is coming off a straight sets win over Hyeon Chung that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Isner won 97 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Isner has clearly found his form this tournament after serious struggles earlier in the year, and he’s coming off a match in which he won 82 percent of his total service points. Everybody knows what Isner is capable of when he’s hitting his spots, and the fact he has produced 25 aces in his last two matches is a clear sign he has his rhythm and confidence back. Nobody wants to face Isner when he’s getting so many free points with his serve and not even giving you a chance on a return. Isner hopes to make his first final appearance since the 2017 Atlanta Open ad his fourth career ATP World Tour Masters 1000 final appearance. Isner has split his last eight semifinal appearances. Isner has won five of his last eight matches on hard court.
Juan Martin Del Potro is coming off a three sets win over Milos Raonic that took 38 games to decide. In the victory, Del Potro won 76 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Del Potro managed to win a hard fought battle three set match and found a way to win despite being broken three times. Del Potro finding a way to win such a match is a clear sign that he’s come a long way in his recovery and is feeling good about himself. It’s going to be interesting to see where Del Potro is at fatigue wise moving forward. Del Potro hopes to make his first career Miami Open final appearance and his second ATP World Tour Masters 1000 final appearance since 2014. Del Potro has won five straight semifinal matches. Del Potro has won 15 straight matches on hard court.
These two have played nine times in the past and Del Potro has won nine of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2017 Paris Masters, a match Isner won in three sets. Isner has actually won three of the last five meetings against Del Potro, but he’s just 1-5 on outdoor hard court. Six of the nine meetings between these two have been decided in straight sets.
Del Potro has been tough to bet against and has a massive crowd advantage playing in Miami. They made their presence felt in that quarterfinal match. However, Isner should be the more rested player, is getting a ton of free points with his serve and usually plays his best when playing in the US. Isner has had success against Del Potro in the past, and I give him the edge if this is a long match that sees tiebreaks.
I probably shouldn’t do this, but I’m backing Isner.