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Juan-Martin Del Potro vs. Novak Djokovic 5/17/19 Italian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Juan-Martin Del Potro vs. Novak Djokovic
Date & Time Friday May 17, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Foro Italico
Rome, Italy
The Line
The Line: Djokovic -578 / Dl Potro +472 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY SPorts

Juan-Martin Del Potro and Novak Djokovic meet in the quarterfinal of the 2019 tennis Italian Open.

Juan-Martin Del Potro is coming off a straight sets win over Casper Ruud that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Del Potro won 79 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Del Potro won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his seven break points. Del Potro has now played just three matches in the last three months, but he’s looked solid in this tournament, especially in his last performance where he was broken just once and got 62 percent of his first serves in play. Del Potro has 15 aces in his last four sets and his last 10 victories have been decided in straight sets. Del Potro has a chance to win three straight matches for the first time since Beijing of last year. Del Potro has won two of his last three matches on clay court.

Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Philipp Kohlschreiber that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 76 percent of his first serve points and 62 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his four break points. Djokovic saved all three of his break points and won each of the last seven games to close the match out in a little over an hour. Djokovic has won each of his last 12 sets and his serve has picked up drastically from when he had those hiccups in Miami and Monte Carlo. It’s fair to say Djokovic is back to being himself and has to be considered a top-two favorite to win this tournament. Djokovic looks to win three matches for the fourth time in his last seven tournaments. Djokovic has won nine of his last 10 matches on clay court.

These two have played 19 times and Djokovic has won 15 of those matches, including the most recent meeting in the 2018 US Open. Djokovic has won the last four meetings against Del Potro and hasn’t lost to him since the 2016 Olympics. Djokovic is 3-0 against Del Potro on clay court. Eleven of the 18 matches were decided in straight sets.

When Del Potro is in complete form, this is a must-watch match and one that could go either way. The problem is Del Potro has barely any matches under his belt, so it’s tough t take him seriously when it comes to beating one of the top players in the world, especially with Djokovic in his current form. Consistent reps matter and Del Potro is still working his way back into the swing of things. It would take a drop off in Djokovic’s game for Del Potro to have a shot, and I don’t see that happening.

Djokovic rolls to the semifinals.

Pick:
Novak Djokovic -578

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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