Federer vs. Del Potro
|Date & Time||Sunday October 29, 2017, 1:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Juan Martin Del Potro and Roger Federer meet in the 2017 Swiss Indoors Final.
Juan Martin Del Potro is coming off a straight sets win over Marin Cilic that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Del Potro won 76 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Del Potro is coming off his best showing of the tournament in which he won 47 percent of his return points and gave himself 12 break chances. Del Potro has now won 12 of his last 14 sets played and gives himself an honest chance at the title if he can continue to have great success with the return. Del Potro looks for his second title of the season and is 16-8 in final appearances on hard court. Del Potro has won 11 of his last 14 final appearances overall. Del Potro has won eight straight matches on hard court.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over David Goffin that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 91 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Federer has now won 18 of his last 20 sets and is coming off a match in which he won 80 percent of his service points and 52 percent of his return points. Federer has been pretty much lights out with his serve all season long and it’s translated into ridiculous success for the 36-year-old. Federer is simply playing some of the cleanest tennis of his historic career. Federer hopes to win his seventh final of the season and is 64-24 in final appearances on hard court. Federer has won seven of his last 10 final appearances overall. Federer has won nine straight matches on hard court.
These two have played 23 times and Federer has won 16 of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Shanghai Masters, a match Federer won in three sets. While Federer has had the upperhand against him for most of his career, Del Potro has won four of the last eight meetings, turning the tide a bit and turning this into more of a rivalry.
It hasn’t been the easiest tournament for Federer, but he continues to buckle down when needed and is able to put his opponent away with ease when needed to find a second gear. Federer has been really effective with his serve and has a ridiculous record on hard court this season. You can’t put anything past Del Potro, especially with his recent history against Federer, but this is Roger’s tournament to lose. He’s in great form and has a loud home crowd behind him.
I like Federer to win his seventh title of the season.