Dominic Thiem vs. Karen Khachanov
|Date & Time||Saturday November 3, 2018, 5:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Karen Khachanov and Dominic Thiem meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Paris Masters.
Karen Khachanov is coming off a straight sets win over Alexander Zverev that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Khachanov won 81 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Khachanov won 72 percent of his total service points and produced six breaks on 11 break points. Khachanov has now won 10 of his last 12 matches, easily some of the most consistent tennis we’ve seen from the 22-year-old, and he’s going to be even tougher to eliminate if he has this sort of success with his return. Khachanov has now beaten two top-10 players this tournament to give him five career wins over top-10 players. Khachanov hopes to make his third final appearance of the year and his fourth final appearance of his career. Khachanov has won nine of his last 10 matches on indoor hard court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a three sets win over Jack Sock that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 73 percent of his first serve points and 51 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 65 percent of his total service points and saved eight of his last 10 break points. Thiem has now won back-to-back three set matches and has given away 12 break points despite his improved serve. Thiem has now won 11 of his last 13 matches since the US Open, but he’s capable of taking his game to another level in this tournament, as he’s been shaky at times. Thiem hopes to make his sixth final appearance of the year and his 19th final appearance of his career. Thiem has won eight of his last nine matches on indoor hard court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
Khachanov is worth consideration given he’s won back-to-back matches against top-10 players and is enjoying his best year yet in terms of final appearances. However, Thiem has been so consistent since his deep US Open run and is playing with a new level of confidence, it’s tough to bet against him unless he’s playing one of the elite players in the game. Even though Thiem has been shaky at times this tournament, he’s finding ways to get the job done regardless.
I trust Thiem more in this spot.