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Karolina Pliskova vs. Maria Sakkari 5/18/19 Italian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Karolina Pliskova vs. Maria Sakkari
Date & Time Saturday May 18, 2019, 11:00 AM (EDT)
Location
Foro Italico
Rome, Italy
The Line
The Line: Sakkari +151 / Pliskova -204 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari meet in the semifinal of the 2019 tennis Italian Open.

Karolina Pliskova is coming off a three sets win over Victoria Azarenka that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 74 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 11 break points. Pliskova rebounded after dropping the first set and got 63 percent of her first serves in play while hitting 11 aces. Pliskova has hit a combined 23 aces in her last two matches, easily some of her best serving in quite some time. Pliskova has also now won seven of her last 10 matches that have gone the distance. Pliskova hopes to make her third final appearance of the year and the 25th final appearance of her career. Pliskova also looks to make her third final appearance in Premier 5 and first since the 2016 Cincinnati Masters. Pliskova has won four of her last five matches on clay court.

Maria Sakkari is coming off a three sets win over Kristina Mladenovic that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Sakkari won 73 percent of her first serve points and 40 percent of her second serve points. Sakkari won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on seven of her 11 break points. Sakkari got 62 percent of her first serves in play and won each of the last seven games to close out the match. Sakkari has now won 11 of her last 12 matches overall when you include qualifying for this tournament, so this is easily the best form we’ve seen from her in quite some time. Sakkari hopes to make her second final appearance of the year and her third appearance of her career. Sakkari also looks to make her first final appearance of a Premier 5. Sakkari has matches on clay court.

These two have played once, which was in last years Italian Open, a match Sakkari won in three sets. The match took 30 games to be decided.

Sakkari is starting to find her form and is a player you can no longer overlook due to past struggles. The problem is Pliskova completely dominated an improved Azarenka in the last two sets and was serving her best we’ve seen in this tournament. When Pliskova is getting her first serve in place, controlling the pace and getting free points, she’s a completely different player and somebody who could very well win this title. If Pliskova builds on what she just did, she should cruise to the final.

Pliskova makes her third final of 2019.

Pick:
Karolina Pliskova -204

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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