Kvitova vs. Pliskova
|Date & Time||Friday May 11, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Karolina Pliskova and Petra Kvitova meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Madrid Masters.
Karolina Pliskova is coming off a straight sets win over Simona Halep that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 80 percent of her first serve points and 69 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova beat the two-time defending champion by getting 70 percent of her first serves in play and breaking four times. Pliskova hasn’t been able to hit as many aces on this slow court as usual, but she’s dominating with her first serves anyway and is controlling the point from the start. Beating three quality names in a row, Pliskova is currently in great form. Pliskova has lost five of her last seven semifinal appearances. Pliskova has a chance to make her second final appearance of the season and her fourth final appearance on clay. Pliskova has a chance to make her first career final appearance in a Premier Mandatory. Pliskova has won 10 of her last 12 matches on clay court.
Petra Kvitova is coming off a straight sets win over Daria Kasatkina that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Kvitova won 86 percent of her first serve points and 43 percent of her second serve points. Kvitova simply dominated in her recent match, winning 72 percent of her total service points and breaking a quality clay player five times. Kvitova is probably playing the best tennis right now since returning from her personal incident, and she’s now won 18 of her last 20 sets played. The 28-year-old Kvitova is quickly showing signs of returning to one of the top players in the world. Kvitova has won seven of her last eight semifinal matches. Kvitova hopes to make her fourth final appearance of the year and fifth clay final appearance of her career. Kvitova hopes to make her fourth career final appearance in a Premier Mandatory and her third final appearance in the Madrid Masters. Kvitova has won nine straight matches on clay court.
These two have played twice and Kvitova has won both meetings. The most recent meeting was in 2015 in Sydney, a match that took two tiebreaks to be decided. The other match was in Wuhan of 2014, a three set match.
Kvitova really impressed me in her last match, as she played extremely clean and used angles to her advantage, frustrating the young Russian. And while Pliskova has the power edge and has been serving well, Kvitova can do similar things here. Use those cross court shots to move the lengthy Pliskova around and make it impossible to keep up. This is a favorable match for Kvitova, despite the two matches between these two being rather competitive.
I like Kvitova to reach the final.