Kei Nishikori vs. Daniil Medvedev
|Date & Time||Saturday April 27, 2019, 7:30 AM (EDT)|
Real Club de Tenis Barcelona
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kei Nishikori and Daniil Medvedev meet in the semifinals of the 2019 tennis Barcelona.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a straight sets win over Roberto Carballes Baena that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 87 percent of his first serve points and 41 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his 10 break points. Nishikori has won all six sets this tournament and has saved 11 of his 13 break points. This isn’t the same Nishikori who entered this event losing three of his last four matches. Nishikori has a chance to win four straight matches for the first time since the Australian Open. Nishikori hopes to make his second final appearance of the year and his 27th of his career. Nishikori has won three of his last four matches on clay court.
Daniil Medvedev is coming off a straight sets win over Nicolas Jarry that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Medvedev won 92 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Medvedev won 73 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his eight break points. Medvedev has won six of his seven sets to get to this point and has produced a combined 12 breaks. It’s the improved return that’s allowed Medvedev to win 10 of his last 13 matches overall. Medvedev is now in the semifinals in back-to-back tournaments. Medvedev looks to make his third final appearance of the year and his seventh of his career. Medvedev has won seven of his last eight matches on clay court.
These two have played three times and Nishikori won two of those matches, including the most recent meeting this year in Brisbane. Nishikori won the only match on clay, which was in Monte Carlo in 2018. Two of the three matches were decided in straight sets.
This should be a fun match between two guys who are playing well, but I have to give the edge to Medvedev, who is in sharper form and has been on a tear on clay these past few weeks. We know Medvedev can serve well and hit with great pace, but his return has been on point and he’s been tough to breakdown lately. While Nishikori is the more accomplished player up to this point, he has a history of falling short in big matches and has had issues this year with his movement.
I like Medvedev to make his third final appearance of the year.