Dominic Thiem vs. Kei Nishikori
|Date & Time||Friday October 26, 2018, 8:30 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kei Nishikori and Dominic Thiem meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Vienna Open.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a straight sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 81 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori won 75 percent of his total service points and saved his only break point in a victory that took just over an hour. Nishikori has been broken just twice in his last five sets and it’s his more consistent serve that’s helped him put together this hot streak. We know the defensive effort is always there with Nishikori, but when he’s not dropping serve, he’s a more dominant player capable of beating anybody in the world. Nishikori has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the third time in his last five events. Nishikori has won six of his last seven matches on indoor hard court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Sam Querrey that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 87 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 74 percent of his total service points and saved all three of his break points. Thiem hasn’t been broken in each of his four sets this tournament and has now won 12 of his last 14 matches. Thiem has simply been a different player since his run at the US Open and has to be considered a strong candidate to win this title. As long as that serve holds up, Thiem is going to put together consistent success moving forward. Thiem has won seven of his last eight matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played three times and Nishikori has won two of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years French Open, a match Thiem won in four sets. Two of the three matches have been decided in straight sets. This will be the first ever meeting on hard court.
Nishikori has been a different player the last couple of months and is obviously capable of getting the job done here. However, Thiem isn’t a player I’m looking to step in front of, as his consistency has improved and he’s been playing with more confidence since New York. Thiem has also had some of his best success over the last year on hard court, especially indoor hard court.
Give me Thiem to make the semifinals.