Kevin Anderson vs. Kei Nishikori
|Date & Time||Sunday October 28, 2018, 6:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kei Nishikori and Kevin Anderson meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Vienna Open.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a straight sets win over Mikhail Kukushkin that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 74 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori won 70 percent of his total service points and saved both of his break points. Nishikori has now won his last seven sets and has been broken just once in his last three matches. As long as Nishikori continues to serve at this level, he gives himself a great chance to snap the title drought. Nishikori hopes to win his first title since the 2016 Memphis Open and his 12th title of his career. Nishikori has lost each of his last eight final appearances and is 9-8 in final appearances on hard court for his career. Nishikori has won 10 of his last 12 matches on indoor hard court.
Kevin Anderson is coming off a three sets win over Fernando Verdasco that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Anderson won 77 percent of his first serve points and 38 percent of his second serve points. Anderson won 66 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 10 break points. Anderson has played just four sets since Wednesday to get to this point and has produced 31 aces in his last four sets. We know the deal with Anderson, as when he’s hitting spots with his power serve, the rest of his game falls into place, and he’s one of the tougher, more underrated players on tour. Anderson hopes to win his second title of the year and his fifth title of his career. Anderson has lost 12 of his last 14 final appearances and is 4-10 in final appearances on hard court for his career. Anderson has won seven of his last nine matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played seven times and Nishikori has won five of those meetings. The most recent match was this year in Hurlingham, a match Nishikori won in straight sets. Four of the seven matches between Nishikori and Anderson have been decided in straight sets.
This is an interesting final between two top players who come up small when they get to the final. Nishikori should get the job done here when push comes to shove, as he not only owns the head to head against Anderson, but he’s improved his serve during this winning stretch he’s enjoying. We know Nishikori plays quality defense and has the shotmaking to outlast long rallies, but it’s his quality serve that’s led to this recent success. Nishikori counters Anderson’s biggest strength and makes the big guy uncomfortable.
I like Nishikori to finally end the title drought.