Bautista Agut vs. Nishikori
|Date & Time||Friday July 7, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Bautista Agut +200 / Nishikori -250 -- Over/Under:
Kei Nishikori and Roberto Bautista Agut meet in the third round of the 2017 Wimbledon.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a four sets win over Sergiy Stakhovsky that took 43 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 74 percent of his first serve points and 55 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori was able to win majority of the big points in his second round match and hit 43 winners to go along with seven aces. We know what Nishikori can do with his shotmaking and on the return, but its been his serve that’s been the most impressive so far this tournament. Nishikori hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the seventh straight try. Nishikori also hopes to make his third ever fourth round Wimbledon appearance. Nishikori has won six of his last eight matches on grass court.
Roberto Bautista Agut is coming off a four sets win over Peter Gojowczyk that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Bautista Agut won 73 percent of his first serve points and 49 percent of his second serve points. Bautista Agut is playing some clean tennis out of the gate, as he’s combined for just 32 unforced errors in his first two matches and has won 49 percent of his return points in both matches as well. As long as Bautista Agut continues to keep the ball in play and doesn’t give away points, he has a chance to pull off the upset in this third round match. Bautista Agut hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the seventh time in his last nine appearances. Bautista Agut has made the fourth round of the Wimbledon once. Bautista Agut has won six of his last eight matches on grass court.
These two have played four times and Nishikori has won every meeting. The most recent match was in the 2016 Miami Masters, a match Nishikori won in straight sets. Nishikori has won the last five sets against Bautista Agut and this will be the first match on grass.
Bautista Agut has never beaten a top-10 player on any surface other than hard court, and he’s playing somebody he’s had no previous success against. Nishikori has thrown in a stinker every now and again this season, so he has a chance to pull off the upset, but Kei is serving well, which is a sign that he’s on his game. When Nishikori has the return and the serve going, he’s tough to beat.
I like Nishikori to advance to the fourth round.