Kei Nishikori vs. Stan Wawrinka 5/9/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kei Nishikori vs. Stan Wawrinka
Thursday, May 9, 2019 at 8:00 AM (Park Manzanares)
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Kei Nishikori and Stan Wawrinka meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a straight sets win over Hugo Dellien that took 24 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 77 percent of his first serve points and 38 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori won 60 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 24 break points. Nishikori was quite successful with his return, but he was broken three times and got very little on his second serve. Nishikori can never be overlooked in a tournament, but he’s been shaky this year and it’s tough to predict which player you’re going to get from match to match. Nishikori hopes to win two matches in a tournament for the fourth time in his last eight tries. Nishikori has won four of his last five matches on clay court.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Guido Pella that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 74 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 66 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his five break points. Wawrinka saved all five of his break points in a victory that took exactly an hour and a half, and he was hitting his spots with far more confidence. While Wawrinka still has work to do to return to the player he was before the injuries, he’s showing more and more signs lately. Wawrinka looks to win three straight matches for the first time since making the Rotterdam Open final back in February. Wawrinka has 53 career wins over top-10 players, and three of those wins have taken place since last year. Wawrinka has won three of his last four matches on clay court.
These two have played 10 times and Wawrinka has won six of those matches, including the most recent match this year in Rotterdam. Nishikori hasn’t beaten Wawrinka since 2017 Brisbane. Seven of the 10 matches overall have been decided in straight sets. Wawrinka won the only meeting on clay back in 2012.
Wawrinka just beat Nishikori a couple of months ago, and I’d say he’s got more rust off than he did back then. Wawrinka is still going through the motions of returning to the player he was before the injuries, but he’s cleaned up some of the unforced errors and is looking a bit sharper as he gets these matches under his belt. Nishikori is a mixed bag and it’s hard to trust him these days due to the constant inconsistency.
I’m going to give Wawrinka the edge here.