Nishikori vs. Anderson
|Date & Time||Friday May 26, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Nishikori -300 / Anderson +250 -- Over/Under:
Kevin Anderson and Kei Nishikori meet Thursday in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Geneva Open.
Kevin Anderson is coming off a three set win over Jared Donaldson that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Anderson won 78 percent of his first serve points and 62 percent of his second serve points. Anderson is starting to find his success again during clay season, and it's been all about his serve where he's produced 26 aces in this tournament alone. When Anderson is effective with his power game and hitting his spots, he's still a tough out even with his injuries and inconsistent play. Anderson has a shot to make the semifinals in two of his last three tournaments, which would be by far his best tennis we've seen from him in awhile. Anderson has won seven of his last nine matches on clay court.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a straight sets win over Mikhail Kukushkin that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 82 percent of his first serve points and 62 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori is trying to find his footing this season, as he's often been hit or miss, which includes withdrawing from the quarterfinals of the Madrid Masters due to a wrist injury. Nishikori looked sharp in his last match, but that was also against a guy ranked 76th in the world. Of course, when Nishikori is healthy and in his groove, he's a threat to win in any tournament he's participating. Hopefully, Nishikori can find his form before the French Open begins. Nishikori has split his last eight matches on clay court.
These two have played five times in the past and Nishikori has won four of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Miami Masters, a match Nishikori won in straight sets. Anderson’s only win over Nishikori came in the 2015 Shanghai Masters.
There's value with Anderson given the inconsistent play of Nishikori. Sometimes he's feeling it, other days nothing can go right, and then of course there's the wrist that seems to flair up from time to time. Assuming both guys are motivated and healthy, this is a match Nishikori should win. His defense and return will counter Anderson's power and frustrate the South African. After all, we've seen Nishikori have his number over the years, and when both guys are feeling good, he's easily the better player.
I like Nishikori in straight sets.