Novak Djokovic vs. Kevin Anderson
|Date & Time||Sunday July 15, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: Anderson +450 / Djokovic -495 -- Over/Under:
Kevin Anderson and Novak Djokovic meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Wimbledon.
Kevin Anderson is coming off a five sets win over John Isner that took 99 games to decide. In the victory, Anderson won 84 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Anderson made another comeback in a match that it looked like he had lost control of, and he won one of the longest grand slam matches ever by hitting 118 winners and winning 77 percent of his total service points. Anderson has managed to take his game to another level when he needs it most and has been out of his mind for much of the tournament with his serve. The obvious question for Anderson is the fatigue, as he’s played about 11 hours of tennis in his last two matches alone. Even with a day off, there’s only so much you can expect from Anderson, as there can’t be much left in those legs. Anderson has a shot to win his first career grand slam final and his second final (New York Open) of the season overall. Anderson is 4-12 in career final appearances and has never won a title on grass court. Anderson has lost 11 of his last 13 final appearances overall. Anderson is also 0-1 in previous grand slam final appearances, losing the 2017 US Open. Anderson has won nine of his last 11 matches on grass court.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a five sets win over Rafael Nadal that took 59 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 76 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 68 percent of his total service points in his victory and hit 73 winners. After being in control of majority of the match, it’s quite clear that Djokovic is as confident and playing as well as he has before his injury issues took place. Djokovic is hitting his spots, serving well and is as mentally tough as ever, as he quickly puts mistakes behind him and grinds his way back into a match. Djokovic has a chance to win his first title since the 2017 Eastbourne International and his 69th title for his career. Djokovic is 4-4 in his career in final appearances on grass court. Djokovic has a shot at his fourth career Wimbledon title and his first grand slam title since the 2016 French Open. Djokovic has won six of his last eight grand slam final appearances. Djokovic has won 10 of his last 11 matches on grass court.
These two have played six times and Djokovic has won five of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2015 Wimbledon, a match Djokovic won in five sets. Anderson’s only win over Djokovic came in the 2008 Miami Masters, the first time these two played.
Djokovic has played a little bit the last two days, but it’s nothing what Anderson has gone through in his last two matches. A day off in-between isn’t going to help the South African much in this match. A guy like Djokovic who keeps the ball in play so often and doesn’t mind long rallies, Anderson is going to have trouble keeping up if this match goes three or four long sets. Not to mention the head to head history and the fact Anderson usually folds in big matches. There’s just not much left in the tank for Anderson, so you can’t make a strong enough case for him to win this match. Like most sports, an athelte is nothing with tired legs, and I wouldn't be shocked if we see Anderson fall over at some point in this match.
Djokovic wins his 13th grand slam title and shows the tennis world he’s back.