Kiki Bertens vs. Anastasija Sevastova
|Date & Time||Wednesday May 8, 2019, 6:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kiki Bertens and Anastasija Sevastova meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Jelena Ostapenko that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 70 percent of her first serve points and 58 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her seven break points. Bertens has won all four sets this tournament and is coming off a match in which she hit 11 aces and saved five of her seven break points. With wins in 10 of her last 14 matches overall, Bertens is one of the hotter players remaining in the field. Bertens has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the fifth time since the US Open. Bertens has won five of her last six matches on clay court.
Anastasija Sevastova is coming off a straight sets win over Mihaela Buzarnescu that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Sevastova won 81 percent of her first serve points and 70 percent of her second serve points. Sevastova won 77 percent of her total service points and converted on two of her five break points. Sevastova absolutely dominated her service game to the point she didn’t face a single break point and got 62 percent of her first serves in play. Sevastova can make a deep run in this event if she’s able to repeat such an effort. Sevastova looks to win three straight matches for the first time since the Australian Open. Sevastova has nine career wins over top-10 players, four of which came last year. Sevastova has won four of her last six matches on clay court.
These two have split the previous two matches, as Bertens won in Madrid last year and Sevastova won in Madrid in 2017. Those are the only two meetings. Both matches were decided in straight sets.
You can make a case for either one of these players, especially with them both beating each other rather comfortably at this tournament the last two years. I give the edge to Bertens based on current form, as she’s been quietly one of the more consistent players on the women’s side these past few weeks and has done a better job of hitting her spots. Sevastova looked sharp in her last match, but she’s also had issues with the return on clay and entered this tournament losing seven of her last 11 matches.
I trust Bertens to advance.