Kiki Bertens vs. Angelique Kerber
|Date & Time||Friday April 26, 2019, 12:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kiki Bertens and Angelique Kerber meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Stuttgart.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a three sets win over Belinda Bencic that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 88 percent of her first serve points and 51 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 70 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her 13 break points. Bertens has won four of her five sets this tournament and is coming off a match in which she had 20 aces. I think it goes without saying that Bertens is a legit title contender in this tournament if she can continue to get so many free points with her serve. Bertens has 16 career wins over top-10 players, with one of those wins coming this year. Bertens has won three of her last four matches on clay court.
Angelique Kerber is coming off a straight sets win over Andrea Petkovic that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Kerber won 68 percent of her first serve points and 56 percent of her second serve points. Kerber won 61 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her eight break points. Kerber can still do better getting her first serve in play, but she was aggressive with the return and managed to win five of the last seven games to close the match. Kerber hopes to win at least two matches for the sixth time in her last nine tournaments. Kerber has 38 career wins over top-10 players, with one of those wins coming this year. Kerber has won eight of her last 10 matches on clay court.
These two have split the previous four matches with Bertens winning the most recent match in the Singapore last year. They’ve also split the two matches on clay, both matches coming in the French Open. Three of the four matches have gone the distance.
If Kerber isn’t going to get 50 percent or better of her first serves in play, she’s going to have a hard time winning this match. Bertens is playing at a very high level and is going to be nearly impossible to beat if she continues to pile up the aces like she did in her last match. With that said, Kerber should still have the edge based on her return and the ability to use the whole court. Kerber also started to find her game in Indian Wells and has really cleaned up a lot of the unforced errors that hurt her earlier in the year.
Close, tight match, but I give the slight edge to Kerber.