Kiki Bertens vs. Donna Vekic
|Date & Time||Sunday February 3, 2019, 8:00 AM (EST)|
Saint Petersburg, Russia
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kiki Bertens and Donna Vekic meet in the final of the 2019 tennis St. Petersburg.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Aryna Sabalenka that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 76 percent of her first serve points and 39 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her 11 break points. Bertens has won six of her seven sets this tournament and has produced a combined 10 breaks in her last two matches. Nine of Bertens’ last 12 victories have been decided in straight sets. As long as Bertens continues to have this sort of success with her return, she should be in good shape when it comes to winning her first title of the year. Bertens hopes to win her eighth career title and first since last years Korea Open. Bertens has won five of her last six final appearances and is 2-0 in career final appearances on hard court. Bertens has won five of her last seven matches on indoor hard court.
Donna Vekic is coming off a straight sets win over Vera Zvonareva that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Vekic won 86 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Vekic won 75 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her nine break points. Vekic has now won each of he her last eight sets and has dropped a combined nine games in her last two matches. Vekicis easily playing some of the best tennis we've seen from her in a while, and the speed of this indoor hard court certainly gives her an advantage when it comes to spraying winners down the line. Vekic is quite comfortable at the moment. Vekic hopes to win her third title of her career and the first since the 2017 Nottingham Open. Vekic is 1-3 in career final appearances on hard court. Vekic has won six of her last seven matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played four times and Vekic has won three of those matches. The most recent meeting was in Brisbane of this year, a match Vekic won in three sets. Bertens’ only win over Vekic came in the 2016 Miami Open. All four matches took place on hard court and two of the matches needed to go the distance.
Vekic obviously has the head to head advantage over Bertens, which includes a victory a few weeks ago when she out hit her, winning 71 percent of her first serve points and breaking four times. However, Bertens has far more success in big matches and her craftiness can give the aggressive power hitter in Vekic some issues. Also, two of Vekic’s three wins over Bertens needed three sets to be decided, so the h2h isn’t as overwhelming as it may seem.
I trust Bertens just a tad bit more in big matches.