Kiki Bertens vs. Garbine Muguruza
|Date & Time||Tuesday March 12, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)|
Indian Wells Tennis Garden
Indian Wells, California
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kiki Bertens and Garbine Muguruza meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Indian Wells.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Johanna Konta that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 88 percent of her first serve points and 56 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 72 percent of her total service points and converted on two of her eight break points. Bertens has won all four sets this tournament and has been highly effective with her return that’s produced eight breaks. Bertens has now won at least two matches in four of her last six tournaments, so she’s quietly one of the hotter players left in the field. Bertens has a chance for her third career quarterfinal appearance in a WTA Premier Mandatory and her first at Indian Wells. Bertens has won four of her last six matches on outdoor hard court.
Garbine Muguruza is coming off a straight sets win over Serena Williams that took 10 games to decide. In the victory, Muguruza won 65 percent of her first serve points and 71 percent of her second serve points. Muguruza came back to win her match after dropping the first three games and advanced once Serena retired early in the second set due to an illness. Muguruza has to start matches off much stronger moving forward, but the good news is she showed flashes of her hitting ability, spraying winners down the baseline in her first set comeback. It’s always tough to predict which Muguruza you’re going to get, but if she’s going to dictate pace and hit her spots with confidence, she’s capable of winning this tournament. Muguruza hopes to make the quarterfinals of Indian Wells for the second time in her last three years. Muguruza has 30 career wins over top-10 players, three of which came since 2018. Muguruza has won six of her last eight matches on outdoor hard court.
These two have played three times and Bertens has won two of those matches. The most recent meeting was in Sydney of last year, a match Muguruza won in straight sets and the only match between these two on hard court. All three matches between these two were decided in straight sets.
Bertens is probably the safer pick because you know which player you’re going to get. It’s always a coin flip with Muguruza, as you either get the grand slam champion or an unconfident player who can’t hit her spots and bows out in two quick sets. Still, the hard court favors Muguruza, and she showed enough hitting ability against Serena that suggests it can carryover into this match.
If the real Muguruza shows up, she reaches the quarterfinals of a WTA Premier Mandatory for the third time in her career.