Kiki Bertens vs. Johanna Konta 5/18/19 Italian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kiki Bertens vs. Johanna Konta
Saturday, May 18, 2019 at 5:00 AM (Foro Italico)
The Line: Konta +208 / Bertens -238 -- Over/Under: 20.5
Kiki Bertens and Johanna Konta meet in the semifinal of the 2019 tennis Italian Open.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a walkover win over Naomi Osaka due to a hand injury where she wasn’t able to feel her thumb. While nobody ever wants a victory from their opponent withdrawing, it does come at a wonderful time given the workload Bertens has picked up these last few weeks. Bertens not only played six sets and four hours of tennis on Thursday, but she’s played already eight matches this month. A day off certainly gives Bertens an advantage over the remaining field and allows her to charge the batteries heading into her third straight semifinal match. Bertens hopes to make her third final appearance of the year and the 12th of her career. Bertens also has a chance to make her second career final appearance in a Premier 5 and first since last years Cincinnati Open. Bertens has won each of her last nine matches on clay court.
Johanna Konta is coming off a three sets win over Marketa Vondrousova that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Konta won 69 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Konta won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 12 break points. Konta got 74 percent of her first serves in play and saved three of her five break points. Konta was in control of her match from start to finish and has now won seven of her last eight matches overall that have gone the distance. Konta hopes to make her second final appearance of the year and the eighth final appearance of her career. Konta hops to make her first ever final appearance in a Primmer 5. Konta has won nine of her last 11 matches on clay court.
These two have split the previous four meetings, with Bertens winning the most recent match in this years Indian Wells. Konta’s last win over Bertens came in 2017 Cincinnati. Four of the five matches have been decided in straight sets and all of the matches were played on hard court.
Konta has the ability to win this match if she’s going to continue to get a high percentage of her first serves in play and perfect that drop shot that’s been killer this tournament. However, Bertens has been one of the more consistent players on the women’s side these past several weeks and was gifted a serious rest advantage with Osaka withdrawing. Take her form and the rest advantage, and there’s good reason to favor Bertens in this contest.
I like Bertens to make her third final appearance of the year.