Kvitova vs. Bertens
|Date & Time||Saturday May 12, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Kiki Bertens and Petra Kvitova meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Madrid Masters.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Caroline Garcia that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 79 percent of her first serve points and 67 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 74 percent of her total service points and didn’t face a single break point in her most recent victory. Bertens had issues with her serve in the quarters against Maria Sharapova, but for the most part, she’s been dominant with it dating back to her title at the Volvo Car Open. Bertens has been broken just eight times in her last five matches overall. Bertens has now beaten two top-10 players in her last three matches and has a shot at her first Premier Mandatory title. Bertens is 5-1 in final appearances for her career and hopes to win her second final of the year. All six of Bertens’ previous final appearances have taken place on clay. Bertens has won 11 straight matches on clay court.
Petra Kvitova is coming off a straight sets win over Karolina Pliskova that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Kvitova won 68 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Kvitova won 47 percent of her return points and broke four times against an elite server who consistently got a high percentage of her first serves in play. Kvitova has now won 20 of her last 22 sets played and has broken her opponents a combined 14 times in her last three matches. Kvitova is easily playing her best tennis since her incident and is making a strong case for being the hottest player on tour at the moment. Kvitova hopes to win her fourth title of the year and her sixth title in a row. Kvitova is 3-1 in her career in final appearances on hard court and hasn’t lost a final appearance overall since the 2016 Luxembourg Open. Kvitova looks to win her third Madrid Masters title, the only Premier Mandatory title she’s ever won. Kvitova has won 10 straight matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2015 Wimbledon, a match Kvitova won in straight sets. The match took 13 games to be decided.
Kvitova is a two-time winner at this event and is simply abusing her opponents with the cross court shots and angles, pushing them around and winning points beautifully. However, Bertens has played just as well on clay this season and has proven that this is the surface she’s most comfortable. Bertens has also had a more impressive journey to get to this point, beating two top-10 players in her last three matches. You can argue she’s in slightly better form and has been the more consistent server.
I like Bertens to get the victory.