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Kristina Mladenovic vs. Maria Sakkari 5/17/19 Italian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kristina Mladenovic vs. Maria Sakkari
Date & Time Friday May 17, 2019, 1:30 PM (EDT)
Foro Italico
Rome, Italy
The Line
The Line: Mladenovic -112 / Sakkari -102 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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Kristina Mladenovic and Maria Sakkari meet in the quarterfinal of the 2019 tennis Italian Open.

Kristina Mladenovic is coming off a straight sets win over Ashleigh Barty that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Mladenovic won 69 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Mladenovic won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her five break points. Mladenovic has had a lot of success this clay season when you throw in qualifying matches, and that should count when you consider her struggles the last couple of years. It’s been a while since Mladenovic was a factor on the main tour, so just beating a top-10 player in straight sets and producing three straight wins has to feel good for the 26-year-old. Mladenovic looks to win four straight matches in a single tournament for the first time since the 2017 French Open. Mladenovic has won 10 of her last 12 matches on clay court.

Maria Sakkari is coming off a three sets win over Petra Kvitova that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Sakkari won 70 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Sakkari won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her seven break points. Sakkari saved 11 of her 14 break points and took control of the third set before Kvitova was forced to retire. Sakkari has won all six sets this tournament and each of her last 10 sets when you include qualifying. Sakkari has to be sharper with her second serve, but she’s produced 13 breaks in her first three matches this tournament. Sakkari hopes to win four matches for the second time in her last three tournaments. Sakkari has won nine of her last 10 matches on clay court.

There’s no match history between these two players.

Sakkari has given her opponents way too many looks at break points her last few matches and that’s going to catchup to her if it continues. Mladenovic isn’t somebody we’re used to seeing make deep tournament runs, but she’s been on an absolute tear these last several weeks and just bounced two players who entered this tournament in terrific form. It’s hard to bet against Mladenovic right now, as it feels like she’s found her game and is in a great space right now.

Look for Mladenovic to make the semifinals.

Kristina Mladenovic -112

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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