Daria Gavrilova vs. Kristyna Pliskova
|Date & Time||Tuesday September 18, 2018, 10:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Karolina Pliskova and Daria Gavrilova meet in the second round of the 2018 tennis Pan Pacific Open.
Karolina Pliskova will play her first tournament since being bounced in the quarterfinals of the US Open and has won nine of her last 14 matches overall. Like her sister, Pliskova is either really good and getting tons of free points with her serve, or she struggles with her power and piles up the unforced errors. Pliskova is coming off a match in which she had just three aces and won just 53 percent of her total service points. Playing on an indoor hard court should make for a faster surface, playing into the hands of Pliskova and her power serve. Pliskova played some of her best tennis in New York, but she’s had issues this year overall making deep tournament runs, so it would be nice to see some consistency from the top-five player in the world. Pliskova has split her last four matches on indoor hard court.
Daria Gavrilova is coming off a three sets win over Kristyna Pliskova that took 35 games to decide. In the victory, Gavrilova won 64 percent of her first serve points and 39 percent of her second serve points. Gavrilova won 56 percent of her total service points and produced five breaks on 10 break points. Gavrilova has to be pleased with her victory, but she had 12 double faults and gave her opponent 21 break points. Gavrilova knows she has to clean up her game if she’s going to get another victory, and she’s now combined for 17 double faults in her last two matches. Give credit to Gavrilova for getting the job done, but the sloppy play is the reason we haven’t seen her make deep runs in tournaments this year. Gavrilova hopes to win two matches in a single tournament for the first time since Wimbledon. Gavrilova has lost three of her last five matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played three times and Pliskova has won all three matches in straight sets. The most recent match was in the 2017 Australian Open, a match Pliskova won in 18 games. The other matches came in 2016 Eastbourne and 2015 Miami.
If the head to head numbers weren’t enough, there’s no way you can back Gavrilova with any confidence given her serving issues. Gavrilova has piled up the double faults lately and is giving away way too many break points. You have to be solid when playing Pliskova, as she usually doesn’t give away much with the serve. One break and Pliskova a lot of the time wins the set.
Pliskova should beat Gavrilova in straight sets for the fourth time.