Naomi Osaka vs Lesia Tsurenko
|Date & Time||Wednesday September 5, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line — Over/Under
Naomi Osaka will take on Lesia Tsurenko in the quarterfinals of the 2018 WTA US Open.
Lesia Tsurenko has had a great US Open campaign and she continued her incredible form by winning her fourth-round match in 3 sets. Tsurenko was exceptional was receiving serve as she won close to 50% of the points when not serving. Furthermore, she also managed to break her opponents serve on 8 occasions which is very impressive. Lesia Tsurenko’s serving decline significantly in this match as she went from serving 1 double fault in the third round to serving 7 double faults. She also had her serve broken 4 more times in the fourth round when compared to the third round. The fourth round match was the first time Lesia Tsurenko’s serve looked vulnerable but considering she served well all tournament which includes a win over Caroline Wozniacki, I expect her to come back strong and serve well in this match.
On the other side of the court, Naomi Osaka won a very close match against Sabalenka in the round of 16. Osaka managed to win the points when needed and showed that she can handle pressure well. Similar to Lesia Tsurenko, Naomi Osaka didn’t serve well in her previous match but the problem is bigger for Japanese superstar since she has struggled with this faucet all tournament. On average, Osaka misses almost half of her first serves and that has put her at a disadvantage at times. Osaka has made up for that in the previous rounds thanks to her pace and strong defensive game but she will need to improve or it could be very costly for her in this match.
This will be the first time these two players meet.
All in all, I am going to pick Lesia Tsurenko to win this match. Lesia Tsurenko has been playing better tennis all tournament and I think she will be able to exploit Osaka’s first serve problems in this match. Furthermore, I see Lesia Tsurenko being back to serving at her best since she has been very good all tournament and I see her fourth round serve to be an outlier rather than a trend. With a strong serve and a brilliant receiving game, I see Lesia Tsurenko making the final 4.