Lucie Safarova and Serena Williams will square off Saturday in the 2015 French Open Final.
Lucie Safarova has yet to drop a set in this tournament and is coming off a win over Ana Ivanovic. Safarova has played no more than 26 games in a match and has five tiebreaks. Safarova has won at least 69 percent of her first serve points and has hit 64 winners in her last two matches. Safarova has hit 18 aces in her last three matches and is getting at least 59 percent of her first serves in play. Safarova is playing her best tennis and shouldn’t be intimidated after beating some great competition to get to this point. However, Safarova is coming off a match in which she had eight double faults and 31 unforced errors, things that can’t happen in this match. This will be Safarova’s first grand slam final appearance at 28 years old.
Serena Williams has dropped four sets in this tournament and has yet to play her best tennis. Serena has played 30 or less games in each match and zero tiebreaks. Serena has won at least 63 percent of her first serve points and has hit 76 winners in her last two matches. Serena has 35 aces in her last four matches and is getting at least 57 percent of her first serves in play. However, Serena has 96 unforced errors in her last three matches, which is why her opponents are hanging around much longer than usual. Serena has at least two double faults in five of her first six matches. Serena looks for her third French Open title and third straight grand slam title overall.
These two have played each other eight times, and Serena has won all eight meetings. Their most recent match was in Beijing in 2014 and this will be the third time they’ve played on clay. Out of eight matches, Safarova has taken three sets away from Serena.
With the way Safarova is playing and the confidence she should have after being quality players, this could be a dangerous match for Serena, especially with the countless unforced errors as of late. I could easily see this going the distance, which is why the over may be the right play.
As for a winner, you’d be a fool to bet against Serena. Errors or not, she’s by far the better player here and will find a way to get it done.