Angelique Kerber vs. Madison Keys
|Date & Time||Thursday August 16, 2018, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Madison Keys and Angelique Kerber meet in the third round of the tennis Cincinnati Open.
Madison Keys is coming off a straight sets win over Camila Giorgi that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Keys won 93 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Keys won 78 percent of her total service points and lost just two of 27 first serve points. I’ve said it a million times, Keys is either going to bully her opponent to victory or hit herself out of a match due to unforced errors. The match is almost always on Keys due to her overwhelming power and shotmaking. Keys has a chance to make the quarterfinal of a WTA Premier 5 Tournament for the fourth time in her career. Keys has never made the quarters in the Cincinnati Open. Keys has split her last six matches on hard court.
Angelique Kerber is coming off a three sets win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Kerber won 58 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Kerber won 50 percent of her return points and converted on eight of her 16 break points. Kerber obviously has to play better, as he serve was sloppy and even had seven double faults. Being broken seven times isn’t what you expect from the talented German. Kerber hopes to make the quarterfinals of a WTA Premier 5 tournament for the third time this year. Kerber can also make the quarters of the Cincinnati Open for the third time in her career. Kerber has won seven of her last 10 matches on hard court.
These two have played eight times and Kerber has won seven of those matches. The most recent match was in this years Australian Open, a match Kerber won in straight sets. Keys’ only win over Kerber came in Eastbourne in 2014.
It’s tough to cap Keys’ matches, as she can cruise easily when she’s hitting her spots or lose in straight sets due to 30 unforced errors. Flip a coin. The one thing to go off here is that Kerber has owned Keys in past meetings and has the strong return to keep her power in check. Keys doesn’t want the long rallies with Kerber.
I’ll side with Kerber here.