Bertens vs. Keys
|Date & Time||Saturday April 7, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Madison Keys and Kiki Bertens meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Charleston Open.
Madison Keys is coming off a three sets win over Bernarda Pera that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Keys won 72 percent of her first serve points and 58 percent of her second serve points. Keys made her quarterfinal match a lot longer than it had to be, but she came away with several big points and managed to produce five breaks overall. As long as Keys is controlling her power and not being an unforced error machine, she’s going to be tough to beat and should be the favorite in this tournament. It’s the few hiccups and the lack of concentration at times that can be the downfall for the young American. Keys hopes to make her first final appearance since the 2017 US Open and the eighth final appearance of her career. Keys has won six of her last nine semifinal matches. Keys has split her last 10 matches on clay court.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Alize Cornet that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 49 percent of her first serve points and 63 percent of her second serve points. Bertens still has yet to drop a set this tournament and is coming off a match in which she won 55 percent of her return points. Bertens is playing with great pace, has been solid with her first serve and is doing a wonderful job of moving her opponent with her return. Dating back to last year, Bertens has now won 20 of her last 21 sets on clay, which goes to show this is head and shoulders her best surface. Bertens hopes to make her first final since last years Ladies Championship Gstaad and the sixth final appearance of her career. Bertens has split her last six semifinal appearances. Bertens has won 10 of her last 11 matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2016 French Open, a match Bertens won in straight sets. The match took 22 games to be decided.
Bertens has an edge here, as she’s not only been dominating on clay, but she’s won the only meeting between these two, which was on clay. You can make a strong case for Bertens in this match, especially in her current form. However, Keys has the power to match Bertens and won’t allow her to dictate the pace of the match. We’ve seen how good Keys can be when she’s being aggressive, and she’s been able to pull away in this tournament when looking for her shots. Not to mention Keys is simply the better player here regardless of the surface. Bertens also needed treatment for a leg injury late in her quarterfinals match, so that’s something to watch.
I like the American to reach the final.