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Marin Cilic vs. Kyle Edmund 2018 Australian Open Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Edmund vs. Cilic
Date & Time Wednesday January 24, 2018, 10:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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USA TODAY Sports

Marin Cilic and Kyle Edmund meet in the semifinals of the 2018 Australian Open.

Marin Cilic is coming off a five sets win over Rafael Nadal that took 41 games to decide before Nadal retired. In the victory, Cilic won 77 percent of his first serve points and 38 percent of his second serve points. Cilic was flawless with his serve in the quarterfinal victory, winning 72 of 93 first serve points and hitting 20 aces. While Cilic in that form is tough to beat, it’s the fact he won 40 percent of his return points that makes him a legit title contender in this tournament. If Cilic isn’t budging with his serve while winning 35-plus percent on his return, it’s tough seeing anybody beat him. Cilic hopes to make his third career grand slam final appearance. Cilic is 2-2 in his career in grand slam semifinal matches. Cilic has never made the final in the Australian Open. Cilic has won seven of his last eight matches on hard court.

Kyle Edmund is coming off a four sets win over Grigor Dimitrov that took 38 games to decide. In the victory, Edmund won 75 percent of his first serve points and 43 percent of his second serve points. Edmund is coming off the biggest win of his career in which he pretty much dominated a top-five player and was able to overcome being broken three times. While Edmund is playing some really solid tennis, it’s going to be interesting to see if nerves come into play at some point considering he’s never been in a spot like this ever at just 23 years old. Edmund has a chance to reach his first career grand slam final and his first final appearance ever on the ATP level. Edmund has lost each of his last four semifinal appearances overall. Edmund has won eight of his last 10 matches on hard court.

These two have played once, which was in the 2017 Shanghai Masters, a match Cilic won in straight sets. The match took 22 games to be decided. 

Edmund is starting to tap into that potential, and when he’s playing this well, he’s capable of beating anybody on any given night. However, Edmund hasn’t even made a final appearance on the ATP level, now we’re talking about reaching a grand slam final? There’s usually steps to this success, and he’s going up against a guy who has been there done that in Cilic, a two-time grand slam finalist and the 2014 US Open champion. Experience matters when you get this deep in the tournament, not to mention Cilic’s serve is 10 times easier to trust and will be key in big points. 

Cilic reaches his third grand slam final.

Pick:
Marin Cilic

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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