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Marin Cilic vs. Roger Federer 2018 Australian Open Final Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Federer vs. Cilic
Date & Time Saturday January 27, 2018, 10:00 PM (EST)
Location Unknown Location Unknown Address
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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USA TODAY Sports

Marin Cilic and Roger Federer meet in the final of the 2018 Australian Open.

Marin Cilic is coming off a straight sets win over Kyle Edmund that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Cilic won 90 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Cilic is coming off possibly his most complete performance of the tournament in which he dropped just five of 50 first serve points and won 38 percent of his return points. Cilic has been lights out with his serve for majority of the tournament and the fact he’s had an extra day over his opponent can’t hurt. Cilic has double-digit aces in all six of his matches and has been broken twice in each of his last eight sets. Cilic looks to win his second career grand slam title and his first since the 2014 US Open. Cilic is 1-1 in his career in grand slam final appearances and is 14-7 in final appearances on hard court overall. Cilic has won eight of his last nine matches on hard court.

Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Hyeon Chung that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 94 percent of his first serve points and 71 percent of his second serve points. Federer lost just one service point in his victory and gave himself 11 break chances before Chung retired due to a blister injury. The short match kind of balances things out given that Cilic has had a full extra day of rest. Federer still hasn’t dropped a set in this tournament and is serving some of the best we’ve seen from him in quite some time. Federer hopes to win his 20th grand slam title and sixth in the Australian Open. Federer has split his last 10 grand slam final appearances and hasn’t lost a grand slam final since the 2015 US Open. Federer is 65-24 in his career in final appearances on hard court. Federer has won 10 of his last 11 matches on hard court.

These two have played nine times and Federer has won eight of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2017 ATP World Tour Finals, a match Federer won in three sets. Federer has won the last three matches, and his only loss to Cilic came in the 2014 US Open. Federer is 4-1 against Cilic on outdoor hard court.

Cilic does have an advantage with the extra day off, and he’s always a treat given his big serve. However, Federer didn’t have to work too much in his semifinal match due to Chung retiring in the second set, and he’s been the most consistent player for the last two years. There’s simply no reason to bet against Federer in his current form, as he’s not losing sets let alone matches. Not to mention the glaring head to head numbers.

Federer wins yet another grand slam title, as he further proves he's the greatest to ever do it.

Pick:
Roger Federer

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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